Key facts, as of
As of September 29, 2026, O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) trades at $86.07, down 20.0% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $82.59 to $108.72; the price is 20.8% below that high. It sits 5.5% below its 200-day average of $91.09, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 22.3% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 27.3.
Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) stock analysis", 2026-09-29. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/orly
Where it trades today
trading 13% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Demand sensitivity, pricing power, and how exposed the business is to macro slowdowns matter more than headline growth alone.
- ORLY trades at 27.3x earnings, well above the consumer cyclical average of 20.0x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
- ORLY carries a beta of 0.52, which means the stock should be judged on how it affects total portfolio swings, not just on standalone upside.
- Relative performance versus AMZN, TSLA, HD matters here because leadership inside consumer cyclical rarely stays static for long.
Portfolio Use Case
- ORLY is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside consumer cyclical than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
- The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
- It is best monitored alongside valuation discipline, because strong narratives in consumer cyclical can stay expensive longer than expected.
What Would Change the View
- A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in ORLY.
- There is little income cushion here, so total return depends mainly on price appreciation and execution staying on track.
- The view would need revisiting if peers such as AMZN, TSLA, HD start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for ORLY come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Cyclical so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for ORLY. Last refresh: Sep 29, 2026, 10:33 PM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.
What O'Reilly Automotive does
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada. The company offers new and remanufactured automotive hard parts and maintenance items, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control, water pumps, antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, lighting products, and oil and wiper blades; and accessories, including floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. It also provides auto…
What analysts expect
ORLY carries a buy consensus from 26 analysts, with an average price target of $107.35 versus $86.07 today (+24.7%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
ORLY generated $18.57B in trailing revenue (8.1% year over year), with a 14.3% net margin, and $1.57B of free cash flow, against $9.33B of net debt.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $17.78B | $9.17B | $3.46B | $2.54B | $2.98 | $1.59B |
| 2024 | $16.71B | $8.55B | $3.25B | $2.39B | $2.73 | $2.03B |
| 2023 | $15.81B | $8.10B | $3.19B | $2.35B | $2.59 | $2.03B |
| 2022 | $14.41B | $7.38B | $2.95B | $2.17B | $2.25 | $2.58B |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
How it sits in consumer cyclical
Discretionary spending sector sensitive to economic cycles, including retail and automotive.
The companies it competes with
ORLY beside the consumer cyclical names it is usually measured against.
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.$246.67$2.66TWhat the chart is saying
In a downtrend, with $85.06 the next floor.
downtrend- Price is 2.7% below its 50-day average and 5.5% below its 200-day.
- RSI at 47 is neither stretched nor washed out.
- The nearest ceiling is $87.38 (+1.5%), the nearest floor $85.06 (-1.2%).
A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.
Questions people ask about it
Is ORLY a good buy right now?
O'Reilly Automotive trades at 27.3x earnings. This is near market average. Current risk level is Medium based on 22.3% volatility.
Does ORLY pay dividends?
O'Reilly Automotive does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits for growth.
How volatile is ORLY?
With 30-day annualized volatility of 22.3% and beta of 0.52, ORLY is classified as Medium risk. The stock tends to be more stable than the market average.
What is the analyst price target for ORLY?
The average analyst price target for O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is $107.35 based on 26 analyst estimates, about 24.7% above the current price of $86.07. The published range runs from $91.00 to $120.00.
How much revenue does ORLY generate?
O'Reilly Automotive reported $18.57B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 8.1% year over year. Net margin sits at 14.3%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.
Compare ORLY with anything
Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.