Key facts, as of
As of October 16, 2026, The Home Depot (HD) trades at $309.63, down 20.1% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $277.15 to $397.63; the price is 22.1% below that high. It is 29.5% below its all-time high of $439.37, reached in November 2024. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +182.1%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It sits 7.9% below its 200-day average of $336.29, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 26.2% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 21.5 and a dividend yield of 3.02%.
Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "The Home Depot (HD) stock analysis", 2026-10-16. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/hd
Where it trades today
trading 27% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
How far it is from its record
The Home Depot (HD) is 29.5% below its all-time high of $439.37, reached in November 2024. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +182.1%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Demand sensitivity, pricing power, and how exposed the business is to macro slowdowns matter more than headline growth alone.
- HD is valued near its sector range at 21.5x earnings versus 20.0x for peers, so the next move likely needs a real earnings or guidance catalyst.
- HD carries a beta of 1.00, which means the stock should be judged on how it affects total portfolio swings, not just on standalone upside.
- Relative performance versus AMZN, TSLA, NKE matters here because leadership inside consumer cyclical rarely stays static for long.
Portfolio Use Case
- HD is more relevant for investors who want some income support alongside price appreciation, not just pure growth exposure.
- The risk profile looks balanced enough for a diversified core-plus portfolio, provided the position size reflects sector concentration.
- It is best monitored alongside valuation discipline, because strong narratives in consumer cyclical can stay expensive longer than expected.
What Would Change the View
- A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in HD.
- Volatility is already above the sector norm, so even a correct long-term thesis can be painful if the position size is too aggressive.
- The view would need revisiting if peers such as AMZN, TSLA, NKE start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for HD come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Cyclical so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as AMZN, TSLA, NKE.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for HD. Last refresh: Oct 16, 2026, 10:11 PM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as AMZN, TSLA, NKE.
What The Home Depot does
The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and internationally. It sells various building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and décor products, as well as facilities maintenance, repair, and operations products. The company also offers installation services for flooring, water heaters, baths, garage doors, cabinets, cabinet makeovers, countertops, sheds, furnaces and central air systems, windows, and window coverings. In addition, it provides tool and equipment rental services. The company serves consumers, such as do-it-yourself homeowners and do-it-for-me customers; and professional renovators/remodelers, general…
Employees
470,000
Industry
Home Improvement Retail
Headquarters
Atlanta, United States
What analysts expect
HD carries a buy consensus from 32 analysts, with an average price target of $379.75 versus $309.63 today (+22.6%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
HD generated $169.18B in trailing revenue (5.7% year over year), with a 8.4% net margin, and $10.76B of free cash flow, against $61.10B of net debt.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $164.68B | $54.87B | $20.89B | $14.16B | $14.26 | $12.65B |
| 2025 | $159.51B | $53.31B | $21.53B | $14.81B | $14.96 | $16.32B |
| 2024 | $152.67B | $50.96B | $21.69B | $15.14B | $15.16 | $17.95B |
| 2023 | $157.40B | $52.78B | $24.04B | $17.11B | $16.74 | $11.50B |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
Which ETFs hold it
HD is in 19 of the 54 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLY: 5.08% of the fund, holding #3 of 47.
Famous investors who hold it
HD is in the latest 13F of 1 of the 15 famous investors we follow. Bill Gates (Gates Foundation Trust) holds the most of it: 1.02% of the portfolio, position #10 of 24, as of Q2 2026.
How it sits in consumer cyclical
Discretionary spending sector sensitive to economic cycles, including retail and automotive.
The companies it competes with
HD beside the consumer cyclical names it is usually measured against.
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.$250.00$2.70TWhat the chart is saying
In a downtrend, below both moving averages.
downtrend- Price is 1.1% below its 50-day average and 7.9% below its 200-day.
- RSI at 60 is neither stretched nor washed out.
- The nearest ceiling is $321.78 (+3.9%).
A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.
Questions people ask about it
Is HD a good investment in 2026?
The Home Depot trades at a P/E ratio of 21.5, with medium volatility (26.2% annualized). The stock is in a consolidation phase.
What is the risk level of HD?
Based on 30-day volatility of 26.2%, HD has MEDIUM risk. Beta of 1.00 indicates lower sensitivity to market movements than average.
Does HD pay dividends?
Yes, The Home Depot has a dividend yield of 3.02%.
How far is HD from its all-time high?
The Home Depot is 29.5% below its all-time high of $439.37, reached in November 2024. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +182.1%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
Which ETFs hold HD?
19 of the 54 popular ETFs we track hold The Home Depot. The largest weights: XLY (5.08%), SCHD (3.82%), DIA (3.38%), VIG (1.39%) and VYM (1.31%). Measured on each issuer's full holdings file, dated August 31 to October 14, 2026.
How much of VOO is HD?
0.49%, as of August 31, 2026: HD is holding #36 of 505 in Vanguard's file for VOO. $1,000 in VOO puts about $4.93 in The Home Depot.
Which famous investors own HD?
Bill Gates (1.02% of Gates Foundation Trust's 13F), according to their latest Form 13F filings with the SEC (Q2 2026). A 13F lists US long positions 45 days after the quarter ends, so it can be out of date.
What is the analyst price target for HD?
The average analyst price target for The Home Depot (HD) is $379.75 based on 32 analyst estimates, about 22.6% above the current price of $309.63. The published range runs from $310.00 to $425.00.
How much revenue does HD generate?
The Home Depot reported $169.18B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 5.7% year over year. Net margin sits at 8.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.
Compare HD with anything
Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.