Key facts, as of
As of September 29, 2026, Advance Auto Parts (AAP) trades at $39.73, down 36.9% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $37.89 to $65.20; the price is 39.1% below that high. It sits 23.0% below its 200-day average of $51.61, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 40.9% annualized, which we rate high risk. It has a trailing P/E of 22.2 and a dividend yield of 2.51%.
Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "Advance Auto Parts (AAP) stock analysis", 2026-09-29. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/aap
Where it trades today
trading 7% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Demand sensitivity, pricing power, and how exposed the business is to macro slowdowns matter more than headline growth alone.
- AAP is valued near its sector range at 22.2x earnings versus 20.0x for peers, so the next move likely needs a real earnings or guidance catalyst.
- Recent realized volatility is running around 40.9%, above the sector norm of 26.0%, so position sizing matters more than usual.
- AAP remains in a bearish short-term trend and sits 39.1% below its high, which raises the bar for any thesis that depends on fast multiple expansion.
Portfolio Use Case
- AAP is more relevant for investors who want some income support alongside price appreciation, not just pure growth exposure.
- The risk profile looks balanced enough for a diversified core-plus portfolio, provided the position size reflects sector concentration.
- It is best monitored alongside valuation discipline, because strong narratives in consumer cyclical can stay expensive longer than expected.
What Would Change the View
- A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in AAP.
- A recovery in price alone would not be enough to improve the view; the thesis needs confirmation from improving business or valuation signals.
- Volatility is already above the sector norm, so even a correct long-term thesis can be painful if the position size is too aggressive.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for AAP come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Cyclical so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for AAP. Last refresh: Sep 29, 2026, 10:33 PM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.
What Advance Auto Parts does
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive aftermarket parts. The company offers batteries and battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis parts; climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wires; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also provides air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluid; electrical wire and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers, and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting products; performance parts; sealants, adhesives, and…
What analysts expect
AAP carries a hold consensus from 19 analysts, with an average price target of $50.21 versus $39.73 today (+26.4%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
AAP generated $8.62B in trailing revenue (-0.5% year over year), with a 1.0% net margin, and -$54.63M of free cash flow, against $2.51B of net debt.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8.60B | $3.73B | $161.00M | $44.00M | $0.73 | -$298.00M |
| 2024 | $9.09B | $3.41B | -$404.00M | -$336.00M | -$5.63 | -$96.00M |
| 2023 | $9.21B | $3.86B | $55.00M | $30.00M | $0.50 | $61.00M |
| 2022 | $9.15B | $4.23B | $524.62M | $464.40M | $8.32 | $335.91M |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
How it sits in consumer cyclical
Discretionary spending sector sensitive to economic cycles, including retail and automotive.
The companies it competes with
AAP beside the consumer cyclical names it is usually measured against.
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.$246.67$2.66TWhat the chart is saying
In a downtrend, below both moving averages.
downtrend- Price is 18.5% below its 50-day average and 23.0% below its 200-day.
- The 50-day crossed below the 200-day on 2026-09-11 (a “death cross”).
- RSI at 35 is neither stretched nor washed out.
- The nearest ceiling is $40.94 (+3.0%).
A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.
Questions people ask about it
Is AAP a good buy right now?
Advance Auto Parts trades at 22.2x earnings. This is near market average. Current risk level is High based on 40.9% volatility.
Does AAP pay dividends?
Yes, Advance Auto Parts offers a dividend yield of 2.51%. That is roughly $1.00 per share a year.
How volatile is AAP?
With 30-day annualized volatility of 40.9% and beta of 1.03, AAP is classified as High risk. Expect larger swings than the broader market during volatile periods.
What is the analyst price target for AAP?
The average analyst price target for Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is $50.21 based on 19 analyst estimates, about 26.4% above the current price of $39.73. The published range runs from $33.00 to $70.00.
How much revenue does AAP generate?
Advance Auto Parts reported $8.62B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at -0.5% year over year. Net margin sits at 1.0%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.
Compare AAP with anything
Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.