Key facts, as of
As of September 29, 2026, Valero Energy (VLO) trades at $387.72, up 125.2% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $155.29 to $419.04; the price is 7.5% below that high. It sits 51.0% above its 200-day average of $256.82, the usual sign of a long-term uptrend. Its 30-day volatility is 33.1% annualized, which we rate high risk. It has a trailing P/E of 16.2 and a dividend yield of 1.23%.
Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "Valero Energy (VLO) stock analysis", 2026-09-29. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/vlo
Where it trades today
trading 88% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Capital discipline and commodity sensitivity matter more than top-line momentum because cash flow can swing quickly with the cycle.
- VLO trades at 16.2x earnings, well above the energy average of 10.5x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
- VLO carries a beta of 0.57, which means the stock should be judged on how it affects total portfolio swings, not just on standalone upside.
- VLO is in a bullish short-term regime and only 7.5% below its 52-week high, so the question is whether fundamentals can keep pace with that stronger tape.
Portfolio Use Case
- VLO is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside energy than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
- The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
- This page is most useful for deciding whether the stock deserves a permanent slot in the portfolio or just a place on the watchlist.
What Would Change the View
- A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in VLO.
- If the short-term trend rolls over while volume fades, the market may stop paying up for momentum before the fundamentals change.
- Volatility is already above the sector norm, so even a correct long-term thesis can be painful if the position size is too aggressive.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for VLO come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Energy so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as XOM, CVX, COP.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for VLO. Last refresh: Sep 29, 2026, 10:33 PM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as XOM, CVX, COP.
What Valero Energy does
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products…
Employees
9,785
Industry
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Headquarters
San Antonio, United States
What analysts expect
VLO carries a buy consensus from 19 analysts, with an average price target of $360.32 versus $387.72 today (-7.1%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
VLO generated $132.43B in trailing revenue (51.7% year over year), with a 5.4% net margin, and $8.42B of free cash flow, against $3.48B of net debt.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $122.69B | $5.37B | $4.31B | $2.35B | $7.57 | $5.03B |
| 2024 | $129.88B | $4.76B | $3.75B | $2.77B | $8.58 | $5.78B |
| 2023 | $144.77B | $12.89B | $11.86B | $8.84B | $24.93 | $8.32B |
| 2022 | $176.38B | $16.75B | $15.75B | $11.53B | $29.05 | $10.89B |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
How it sits in energy
Volatile sector tied to oil and gas prices, includes exploration, production, and refining.
The companies it competes with
VLO beside the energy names it is usually measured against.
What the chart is saying
In an uptrend, 7.5% under its 1-year high with no resistance above.
uptrend- Price is 10.9% above its 50-day average and 51.0% above its 200-day.
- RSI at 58 is neither stretched nor washed out.
- Nothing above has stopped it this year; the nearest floor is $292.83 (-24.5%).
A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.
Questions people ask about it
Is VLO a good buy right now?
Valero Energy trades at 16.2x earnings. This is near market average. Current risk level is High based on 33.1% volatility.
Does VLO pay dividends?
Yes, Valero Energy offers a dividend yield of 1.23%. That is roughly $4.77 per share a year.
How volatile is VLO?
With 30-day annualized volatility of 33.1% and beta of 0.57, VLO is classified as High risk. The stock tends to be more stable than the market average.
What is the analyst price target for VLO?
The average analyst price target for Valero Energy (VLO) is $360.32 based on 19 analyst estimates, about 7.1% below the current price of $387.72. The published range runs from $238.00 to $457.00.
How much revenue does VLO generate?
Valero Energy reported $132.43B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 51.7% year over year. Net margin sits at 5.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.
Compare VLO with anything
Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.