Key facts, as of
As of September 29, 2026, Old Dominion Freight (ODFL) trades at $177.46, up 25.8% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $126.01 to $252.03; the price is 29.6% below that high. It sits 11.1% below its 200-day average of $199.52, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 30.2% annualized, which we rate high risk. It has a trailing P/E of 34.1 and a dividend yield of 0.66%.
Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "Old Dominion Freight (ODFL) stock analysis", 2026-09-29. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/odfl
Where it trades today
trading 41% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Order-book quality, backlog conversion, and operating leverage usually tell you more than a single quarter of revenue growth.
- ODFL trades at 34.1x earnings, well above the industrials average of 18.5x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
- Recent realized volatility is running around 30.2%, above the sector norm of 22.0%, so position sizing matters more than usual.
- ODFL remains in a bearish short-term trend and sits 29.6% below its high, which raises the bar for any thesis that depends on fast multiple expansion.
Portfolio Use Case
- ODFL is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside industrials than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
- This name works better as a satellite or higher-conviction growth position because it can amplify market swings in both directions.
- This page is most useful for deciding whether the stock deserves a permanent slot in the portfolio or just a place on the watchlist.
What Would Change the View
- A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in ODFL.
- A recovery in price alone would not be enough to improve the view; the thesis needs confirmation from improving business or valuation signals.
- Volatility is already above the sector norm, so even a correct long-term thesis can be painful if the position size is too aggressive.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for ODFL come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Industrials so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as CAT, HON.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for ODFL. Last refresh: Sep 29, 2026, 10:33 PM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as CAT, HON.
What Old Dominion Freight does
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. In addition, the company operates fleet maintenance centers. As of December 31, 2025, it owned and operated 10,184 tractors, 30,824 linehaul trailers, and 14,313 pickup and delivery trailers. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina.
What analysts expect
ODFL carries a buy consensus from 22 analysts, with an average price target of $230.91 versus $177.46 today (+30.1%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
ODFL generated $5.60B in trailing revenue (10.4% year over year), with a 19.4% net margin, and $970.78M of free cash flow, supported by $263.94M of net cash.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $5.50B | $1.82B | $1.36B | $1.02B | $4.86 | $955.10M |
| 2024 | $5.81B | $2.02B | $1.54B | $1.19B | $5.51 | $887.97M |
| 2023 | $5.87B | $2.07B | $1.64B | $1.24B | $5.67 | $811.83M |
| 2022 | $6.26B | $2.26B | $1.84B | $1.38B | $6.13 | $916.43M |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
How it sits in industrials
Manufacturing, aerospace, defense, and infrastructure companies.
The companies it competes with
ODFL beside the industrials names it is usually measured against.
What the chart is saying
Slipped under its 50-day average inside a longer uptrend.
weakening- Price is 11.2% below its 50-day average and 11.1% below its 200-day.
- RSI at 37 is neither stretched nor washed out.
- The nearest ceiling is $182.56 (+2.9%), the nearest floor $169.21 (-4.6%).
A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.
Questions people ask about it
Is ODFL a good buy right now?
Old Dominion Freight trades at 34.1x earnings. This is above market average, reflecting growth expectations. Current risk level is High based on 30.2% volatility.
Does ODFL pay dividends?
Yes, Old Dominion Freight offers a dividend yield of 0.66%. That is roughly $1.17 per share a year.
How volatile is ODFL?
With 30-day annualized volatility of 30.2% and beta of 1.17, ODFL is classified as High risk. Expect larger swings than the broader market during volatile periods.
What is the analyst price target for ODFL?
The average analyst price target for Old Dominion Freight (ODFL) is $230.91 based on 22 analyst estimates, about 30.1% above the current price of $177.46. The published range runs from $156.00 to $280.00.
How much revenue does ODFL generate?
Old Dominion Freight reported $5.60B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 10.4% year over year. Net margin sits at 19.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.
Compare ODFL with anything
Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.