Key facts, as of
As of September 29, 2026, CME Group Inc. (CME) trades at $263.22, down 3.3% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $218.31 to $329.16; the price is 20.0% below that high. It sits 5.5% below its 200-day average of $278.56, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 21.7% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 22.3 and a dividend yield of 1.98%.
Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "CME Group Inc. (CME) stock analysis", 2026-09-29. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/cme
Where it trades today
trading 41% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Credit quality, deposit stability, and how management navigates the rate cycle usually drive the next rerating.
- CME trades at 22.3x earnings, well above the financial services average of 12.5x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
- CME carries a beta of 0.28, which means the stock should be judged on how it affects total portfolio swings, not just on standalone upside.
- CME remains in a bearish short-term trend and sits 20.0% below its high, which raises the bar for any thesis that depends on fast multiple expansion.
Portfolio Use Case
- CME is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside financial services than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
- The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
- The stock becomes more useful when paired with an explicit catalyst watchlist, because sector sentiment can shift quickly around policy, rates, or pipeline news.
What Would Change the View
- A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in CME.
- A recovery in price alone would not be enough to improve the view; the thesis needs confirmation from improving business or valuation signals.
- The view would need revisiting if peers such as JPM, BAC, WFC start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for CME come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Financial Services so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as JPM, BAC, WFC.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for CME. Last refresh: Sep 29, 2026, 10:33 PM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as JPM, BAC, WFC.
What CME Group Inc. does
CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, and foreign exchange; and agricultural, energy, and metals commodities, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial…
Employees
3,875
Industry
Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Headquarters
Chicago, United States
What analysts expect
CME carries a hold consensus from 15 analysts, with an average price target of $283.60 versus $263.22 today (+7.7%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
CME generated $6.76B in trailing revenue (0.8% year over year), with a 63.4% net margin, and $2.91B of free cash flow, against $1.59B of net debt.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $6.52B | $5.61B | $4.23B | $4.07B | $11.18 | $4.19B |
| 2024 | $6.13B | $5.28B | $3.93B | $3.53B | $9.69 | $3.60B |
| 2023 | $5.58B | $4.75B | $3.44B | $3.23B | $8.87 | $3.38B |
| 2022 | $5.02B | $4.27B | $3.02B | $2.69B | $7.41 | $2.97B |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
How it sits in financial services
Sector covering banks, insurance, asset management, and fintech companies.
The companies it competes with
CME beside the financial services names it is usually measured against.
What the chart is saying
In a downtrend, with $257.40 the next floor.
downtrend- Price is 2.3% below its 50-day average and 5.5% below its 200-day.
- The 50-day crossed below the 200-day on 2026-06-17 (a “death cross”).
- RSI at 40 is neither stretched nor washed out.
- The nearest ceiling is $272.14 (+3.4%), the nearest floor $257.40 (-2.2%).
A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.
Questions people ask about it
Is CME a good buy right now?
CME Group Inc. trades at 22.3x earnings. This is near market average. Current risk level is Medium based on 21.7% volatility.
Does CME pay dividends?
Yes, CME Group Inc. offers a dividend yield of 1.98%. That is roughly $5.21 per share a year.
How volatile is CME?
With 30-day annualized volatility of 21.7% and beta of 0.28, CME is classified as Medium risk. The stock tends to be more stable than the market average.
What is the analyst price target for CME?
The average analyst price target for CME Group Inc. (CME) is $283.60 based on 15 analyst estimates, about 7.7% above the current price of $263.22. The published range runs from $230.00 to $330.00.
How much revenue does CME generate?
CME Group Inc. reported $6.76B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 0.8% year over year. Net margin sits at 63.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.
Compare CME with anything
Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.